The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' chaotic, decentralized attacks across the Middle East have achieved something neither the US nor Israel could have engineered alone - a rapidly forming multinational coalition against Tehran that now stretches from Western Europe to the Caucasus.
Former Ukrainian Ambassador Serhiy Korsunskyy described the unfolding situation during a March 5 broadcast with Yuriy Romanenko, as "Hvylya" reported.
IRGC units scattered across Iran began firing "at their own discretion in every direction" after the death of Supreme Leader Khamenei, Korsunskyy explained. The late leader had authorized individual commanders to act independently without central command - a contingency plan devised after the 12-day war. The result has been strikes hitting targets no one expected: drones struck Nakhchivan in Azerbaijan, injuring four people, while a British base on Cyprus was also targeted.
Spain has dispatched a frigate to protect Cyprus. France is sending ships. Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev - who had been among the first neighbors to offer condolences over Khamenei's death - declared the drone strikes "a terrorist act against the Azerbaijani state" and said the armed forces had received "appropriate instructions." Even Britain, which Korsunskyy noted "isn't even participating in any of this," has been provoked into a reaction.
"The biggest blunder that could have been made was that decentralized IRGC units began firing at their own discretion in every direction," the diplomat said. "A coalition is forming, and this coalition will apparently be very, very broad." Qatar is already using its aviation to help suppress Iranian launch sites for drones and missiles, with other countries expected to follow.
The paradox, Korsunskyy suggested, is that Iran's own military doctrine - granting autonomy to field commanders - has accomplished what months of diplomacy likely could not: uniting states with vastly different interests under a single anti-Iranian umbrella.
Also read: President Aliyev Denounces Iran's Actions as Direct Aggression Following Terrorist Act
